View Single Post
  #1  
Old 04-25-2010, 02:26 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,003
Default 4/25: Aqueduct ($56k C/O); Hollywood (6th-9th)

AQUEDUCT -- CLOSING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


$56K P6 CARRYOVER -- MANDATORY PAYOUT


4th: NYB -MSW, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

No surprises here, but Adam Rides Again, 'first turf' Pletcher gelding by Cozzene, looks to offer a nice alternative to the ML choices..

Most Likely: #4 Adam Rides Again 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Come Undone 2-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Raffinator 6-1 3rd


5th: NYB-CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Ugly set with enough speed in attendance to makes race trickier than it should be. Bailsby's involvement, third off a 1.5 year layoff with 3 drills added since last, means Extinguish will not be getting away easily. If Always On the Move is a shadow of his former self, he should handle these given that set up, but that hardly feels like a certainty..

Most Likely: #3 Always On the Move 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Felinefelon 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Extinguish 8-5 3rd


6th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF: 3-4/WON-7-8

Most Likely: #
Next Best: #
Best Value: #
Super Add: #


7th: NYB-CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Book 5-1
Most Likely: #5 We're Going Mobile 3-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Vinnie Van Go 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Potomac Moon 8-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

This is an outstanding race with an impossibly well-matched group..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Emma's Posse 6-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Monte Carlo 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Star of New York 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 SCR


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

OFF THE TURF: 2-3-6-8

Most Likely: #
Next Best: #
Best Value: #
Super Add: #


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 4-5-10
5: 3
6: 3-4
7: 2-5
8: 1-4
9: 2-3

3x1x2x2x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play: Sorry.. Failed to revise P4 post final SCR's.

6: 2/SCR-7-8
7: 2-4-5
8: 1-3-4-7/SCR
9: 2-3

2x3x3x2 = $36



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Primed 5-2 6th
Best Value: #8 There Is No Limit 4-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Life Well Lived 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Honey Bunch 8-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Best Mon 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #3 Gotmymojoworkin 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 SCR


8th: 70th Inglewood (G3), 3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Great Siege 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Acclamation 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Gallant Son 15-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Rummysecret War 30-1 9th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Majestic Run 7-2 13th
Best Value: #1 Waafi 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Stray Cat 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Smokenomore 6-1 4th
High 5 Play: #12 Gold Stock 15-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-8-10
7: 2-3
8: 5-7-8-9-11
9: 1-11

3x2x5x2 = $60


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-25-2010 at 08:27 PM.
Reply With Quote