boston relies on being a 53 + win team at home every year
they have been a very average team on the road the last 5-6 years for a team that wins 90 games a year
if they play .500 ball on the road , which is about what they have averaged over the last 6 yrs they are going to need to win 54 out of their next 74 in Fenway park to get to 95 wins , starting 1-6 at home is a disaster for them
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