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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'm pretty confident Sidney's Candy will lose the Santa Anita Derby. Interactif badly outfinished him late in the San Felipe.
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Wasn't he supposed to, considering that Caracortado made, essentially, the 1st move, wide, giving Interactif pretty much the best possible (inside) trip under the circumstances. What does this prove?
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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Another strong generic angle ... one I'm hoping Sidney's Candy runs to Saturday .. is to look for horses who make menacing moves into contention in synthetic races ... only to come up totally empty in the stretch run. I LOVE horses switching to dirt who are exiting synthetic races when they were totally out of gas in the stretch.
I'm subjected to the bondage of handicapping 800 synthetic races a year - 795 of which for real cheap horses ... but the angle does also hold true with better horses. Rachel Alexandra got a taste recently.
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This is priceless. This 'angle' works on all tracks, not just synthetic or primary ones. (Of course, it doesn't work as well on BUSH, BIASED tracks, like the AQU INNER, especially when the racing secretary never changes up on the distances. ) This is why having accurate charts is so important. Someone who understands race flow and has accurate data can pretty much CRUSH the game. Of course, looking at pace/speed figures would tend to get in the way of this.
P.S. what exactly did RA do that Zardana didn't in that race? In fact, Z made the sharper move (and won with it -- yet another 'angle').