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Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Baylor has gotten better with each tournament game and they're the first team Duke's played that has the size and athleticism to defend them at every position. Your guess at the line?
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I would have made it Duke -4.5, I guess it came out at -4 according to PG.
My formula-generated lines for each game (a work in progress but getting close to polished, it's up to a 60% winning percentage over a sample size of 2,000 games with approximately 600 of those having a play at 3.5 points differing from the line):
Baylor/Duke -4.5 O/U 143.5
WV/Kentucky -6 O/U 138.5
Butler/K-State -7 O/U 135
Tennessee/Mich St +1.5 O/U 128
FWIW, the Sweet 16 lines it generated:
Tennessee/Ohio St -2 O/U 131
UNI/Michigan St -6 O/U 121
St Marys/Baylor -4 O/U 147
Duke/Purdue -8 O/U 132
Xavier/K-State -2.5 O/U 148
Butler/Syracuse -7 O/U 136
Cornell/Kentucky -12 O/U 149
Washington/West Virginia -3 141.5