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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
That the horse tried to run against the grain in the FoY is OBVIOUS. That the FD was crying out for a CLOSER is also obvious. Everything else is mumbo jumbo. You can't quantify this type of ****, DrugS. How many SLOW longshots need to win before this sinks in? For every slow horse you don't bet you miss out on some bomb you also didn't bet. The speed model is just not the right/best one for this type of event.
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You're making a very incorrect assumption if you think I don't bet slow horses like Ice Box who exit races with trips like he did.
I bet them FAR more often than you think... and more often than most people who aren't certified hopelessly bad bettors. People who post here like Indian Charlie and Tector know quite well that I'm not affraid to bet horses who's recent numbers are too slow to compete.