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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
It probably follows, then, that it would be more advantageous to utilize race type models rather than (numeric) speed/pace models when it comes to handicapping. Instead of focusing on how fast a horse is able to run, one would look at what type of races the horse runs well/poorly in. Then again, this would mean there'd be no need for the bounce, and we wouldn't want that.  |
Of course we know that " bounce " is just a convenient euphamism for " I didn't want to take the time to figure out why " but what you ignore is that accurate numbers can
help predict race dynamics, i.e. good pace figures, and also tell you how capable a horse is under optimal conditions....which is what you ( and I mean YOU specifically in this case ) are looking for when you bet a horse. This is a flaw in your game...as you are as dogmatic as many sheet players ( I always laugh when I recall someone I know calling them Stalinists ) in an opposite manner of disregarding them.
Everything has its place. That doesn't mean we need to use and understand everything....but the more factors we understand and use effectively the better we will do.