Quote:
|
Originally Posted by SOREHOOF
I still believe that synthetic Beyers don't mean squat when handicapping a race.
|
i agree, those numbers mean squat when they change tracks too. i never put too much faith in the "numbers" anyway. will they give you some winners ? yes. but, learning how to read the racing form and anticipate outcomes of the way a race is going to run is way more important. anyone with any horse sense knew that rachel would have a hard time coming back after 6 and 1/2 months. shes a front end kind of horse that had a grueling schedule. the fact of the matter is she may never come back to that form again. i've been doing this for so long and have seen many horses go this route, especially the fillies and mares. i'm glad there are numbers people because it gives alot of overlays. every surface is different and every horse reacts differently to the surface. trying to correspond some sort of number to the performance and then projecting it to the next race is fine at the same meet. when the surface changes those numbers are just about worthless. zenyatta runs to win not for numbers. she sits back and exerts just enough energy to pass every one. if the race is slow she wins "slow", but as we've seen when the competition is better she can step up her game. a horse with her style and brains is very, very hard to beat. the number she gets means nothing.