PID is my 'home track' only in so much as it's 2 miles away and all my selections go in the newspaper.
For two straight years my top selection has yielded a flat bet profit at the end of each meet.
But hey, that's just 1,600 races... Joel Rosario, who you knock bigtime as a jockey, has yielded a flat bet profit for a riding career of over 4k races.
Don't get me wrong .. I'll downgrade the chances of a horse if I think the new rider is hopelessly incompetent... or if the rider switch is one I deem negative.
Just because I quote a lot of riders stats doesn't mean it's much of a factor in my handicapping. A lot of times - the reputation of the rider gets baked into the odds. Yeah, Dominguez is great ... but if you get him you're going to see a bit of a hit in price. Yeah, Jackie Davis stinks ... but hey, you're going to get the best of it price wise with someone like that. If the horse runs well enough .. it won't matter.
Sometimes everything unfolds right and bad riders land perfect trips. Sometimes things go wrong and good riders find bad trips.
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