3/13: GP, TAM, OP (Late P4's); SA (4th-10th); Magna 5
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 2nd Ocala-FL, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #4 Jessica is Back 4-5 WON
Best Value: #8 Glotona 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sweetsouthernqueen 8-1 4th
9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #1 Exiled Princess 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Taconic Victory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 In Perpetuity 7-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Star of the Town 6-1 4th
10th: 66th Gulfstream Park H. (G2), 4+, 1m (DD, Super)
Wild edition of this race with clear Most Likely in 'Phil' but wide open thereafter..
Most Likely: #11 This One's for Phil 9-5 8th
Next Best: #4 Motovoto 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Congressional Page 12-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Grasshopper 15-1 11th
11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)
Very difficult nightcap with uncertain turf condition a factor. Mott firster is half to OK Red Birkin and True Birkin, while Shug's Hit It Rich is a half to excellent SW Spanish Mission..
Most Likely: #14 Hey Babe 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Arrowcourse 12-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Hit It Rich 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Very Expensive 10-1 8th
<$50 P4 Play:
8: 4-8
9: 1-3-6-13
10: 4-11
11: 3-4-7-9-10-14
2x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 12th Hillsborough (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Lady Shakespeare will undoubtedly scratch for perhaps the 4th time this winter.. Doubt race comes off the turf despite the heavy rains yesterday..
SCR #1 Reed entry
Most Likely: #4 Cure for Sale 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Liberally 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Phola 8-1 WON
9th: 27th Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #4 Diva Delite 4-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Cuff Me 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Imaginary Saint 5-1 9th
Super Add: #2 C C's Pal 15-1 2nd
10th: 6th Turf Dash, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
SCR #5 Musket Man
Best Value: #4 Sneaking Uponyou 10-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Probation Ready 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Turfiste 7-2 7th
11th: 30th Tampa Bay Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)
Surprised this event, which has been a growing Derby Trail season pressence, didn't draw more interest. PL-SH runners from Sam Davis are joined in the gate by serious Pletcher-WinStar product Super Saver and Albertrani-Padua hopeful Odysseus, with some pressure on the latter to step forward..
Most Likely: #6 Super Saver 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Odysseus 7-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Uptowncharleybrown 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Schoolyard Dreams 3-1 2nd
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1/SCR-4-6-8
9: 3-4
10: 4-5/SCR-6-9
11: 1-5-6-7
3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
$0.50 P4 (1,3,5,7,8,10/5,6/4/7) Paid $182.65
OAKLAWN PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 23rd Honeybee (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Decelerator 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 No Such Word 5-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Beautician 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Tap Tap Tapping 15-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (1-5) Paid $25.90
$1 Trifecta (1-5-6) Paid $161.80
$1 Superfecta (1-5-6-2) Paid $373.80
9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3)
Most Likely: #2 Sea Gaze 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Gresham 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Follow the Leader 6-5 WON
10th: 50th Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)
Get the feeling that Baffert is tinkering with 'Lucky' adding blinks at this juncture to see how early in the race it puts the Juvy Champ. Certainly doesn't have to win in first dirt start, but you don't want to throw a clunker in with little margin for error on the Derby Trail. Probably a smart bet-against within the race.. Pace may be a bit more heated than anticipated, and sense Noble's Promise gets desired stalking trip, while late-running Dublin gets a better target than he had in the Southwest.. Intriguing event..
Most Likely: #6 Noble's Promise 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Lookin At Lucky 7-5 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Dublin 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Un Oh Bango 5-1 4th
11th: MDN CLM, 3-5yo, 6f (Super)
Most Likely: #9 Logic 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Corralito's Way 5-2 WON
Best Value: #11 Freedom Camp 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Sargent Marv 6-1 6th
<$75 P4 Play:
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 2-5-7
10: 2-6-7
11: 9-10
4x3x3x2 = $72
$2 P4 (1/4,7/2/10) Paid $304.10
SANTA ANITA
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Elegant 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tashzara 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Kaysa Deeya 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Kakalina 8-1 8th
5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 Massone 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Joshua's Dream 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mr. Big 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Viscount 4-1 3rd
6th: CLM, 4yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #10 A Royal Tizzy 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 My Man Sumo 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 The Final Roar 9-2 4th
Super Add: #8 White Lace Jimmy 6-1 2nd
$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $14.00
$1 Trifecta (1-8-10) Paid $32.00
$1 Superfecta (1-8-10-5) Paid $90.30
7th: 73rd Santa Margarita (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Zenyatta 1-9 WON
Best Value: #5 Striking Dancer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Pretty Unusual 12-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Floating Heart 12-1 3rd
8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Top Feeling 5-1 WON
Best Value: #1a Warrens Attack Cat 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Pinstripe Kid 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Adam Suances 8-1
$1 Exacta (6-10) Paid $78.50
9th: 73rd San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)
Very tough to seperate the top ones, but Sidney's Candy can get the easy lead and waltz them around the oval..
Most Likely: #5 Sidney's Candy 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Caracortado 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 American Lion 4-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Interactif 4-1 2nd
10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #9 Tribul Witch 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Joint Agreement 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Good Night Gyrene 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 Racing Rachel 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Lacey Leilah 8-1 4th
<$100 P6 Play:
5: 5-9
6: 10
7: 8
8: 1-6-10
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 7-9
2x1x1x3x4x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 8
8: 1-6-10
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 2-7-8-9-11-13
1x3x4x6 = $72
MAGNA 5
PRE-SCRATCHES
LEG A-LAUREL 10th: CLM, 4+, 6f (Super)
Best Value: #6 Saay Mi Name 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Dukes Flying Tiger 9-2 8th
Next Best: #1 Vincero 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Ijada's Run 8-1 3rd
LEG B-SANTA ANITA 4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Elegant 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tashzara 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Kaysa Deeya 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Kakalina 8-1 8th
LEG C-GULFSTREAM 9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #1 Exiled Princess 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #13 Taconic Victory 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 In Perpetuity 7-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Star of the Town 6-1 4th
LEG D-GOLDEN GATE 4th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Dangerous Devil 7-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Moscato 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Hunter Creek 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Camisado 9-2 8th
LEG E-SANTA ANITA 5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #9 Massone 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Joshua's Dream 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mr. Big 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Viscount 4-1 3rd
<$100 & <$200 Magna 5 Play:
A: 6-10 (1-7)
B: 4-6
C: 1-6-13
D: 1-2-6-7
E: 5-9
2x2x3x4x2 = $96
4x2x3x4x2 = $192
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-13-2010 at 07:29 PM.
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