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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I think he just beat a TERRIBLE field in that Laurel win and you're reaching a bit for excuses. Look how the horses he beat have faired.....
The horse who was 2nd to him came back as the even money betting favorite in his next start and was beaten 8 lengths by a 2nd time starter who got beat a mere 27 lengths in his debut.
The 3rd place finisher from his win got beat 6.5 lengths at 8/5 odds in his next start.
The 4th place finisher was beaten 19 lengths and 14.5 lengths in his next two starts - the latter trouncing coming for a 25K maiden claiming tag.
As Mr. Eloquence said earlier in the thread - "there are no trips in slow races" .. or something like that.
While I wouldn't disagree that he was visually impressive in victory when you watch the race ... it obviously had a whole lot more to do with the bums that were running behind him.
The prettiest girl at the fat camp always looks irresistible ... until she surrounds herself with better company.
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I agree with you. The field he beat was terrible. There is no question about that. But that doesn't mean he's not a good horse. Most of the good horses (horses that ended up being graded stakes winners) we've seen over the years that broke their maidens at tracks like Laurel, Delaware, Philly Park, etc. didn't beat any world beaters when they broke their maidens.
Whether this horse is any good or not, I don't think he's anything close to 100% right now. He's only had 2 works the last 7 weeks (and one of them was a 3 furlong work, 2 days before his race. In his race the other day, he was around 15 lengths back early and the pace wasn't even that fast (:47 2/5). The horse rarely works out and he's lost all his speed. The horse may not be any good but I certainly don't think he's anything close to 100% right now.