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Old 03-02-2010, 04:31 PM
GBBob GBBob is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 6,342
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I love to monitor these sales for future bets - and more importantly bet againsts - for when these horses start to debut a few months down the line.

This sale isn't one of my favorites ('sup FT Texas and OBS April) for finding possible live debut sprinters to follow for betting purposes because it's easily the highest quality of them all & not big in the way of quantity.

One of the horses from this sale I loved the tape of was the Dehere-Friend of a Friend filly. She left ya with that 'ahhh, now that's a debut winner right there!' feeling.

She ended up selling for 250K to - sadly - Bob Baffert. Probably going to debut on synthetic now and there goes any price...even probable ML bet-down price (for singling into P3's) gets shaved some cause of Baffert.

But anyway ... forget about what you're looking to bet on or against in the future .. and put yourself in the position of the buyer.

The sire Dehere stands for 10K.

The dam Friend of a Friend was a cripple of moderate ability who once blew an easy lead in a 7.5K N2L claiming race at River Downs.



According to the catalog .. this is Friend of a Friend's 2nd foal .. her first foal is UNRACED.

As a buyer looking at expensive horses - you're getting the worst of the gender with her, you're getting a very unfashionable pedigree for the money, you're getting a filly who is very likely to have distance limitations, you're getting a filly who is probably more likely than most to have soundness issues.

It's a lot of knocks for a quarter million ... and in a market like the one a few years ago .. she would have certainly sold for a good bit more money.
So Dam wise, would you substitute Top Royelle for FOAF?

Not apples to apples I know, but just askin'
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