SMOKIN' GUN
3 g High Chaparral - Rapida
7 starts - 2 wins, 1 second
Trainer: Craig Thornton
Odds: 60-1
Replays:
Woodville Rating 70 (1st):
http://www.dailymotion.com/video/xcf...oodville_sport
Last start: Waikato Guineas (13th):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJMqU75285M
+ Excellent pedigree - High Chaparral is having an amazing season, and Rapida is the dam of several horses that have done well in stakes races over long distances (Gin Dartre, Courtney, Ivy's League)
+ Stylish win at Woodville
+ Had excuses when he finished 12th, 8 lengths behind Katie Lee, in the 2000 Guineas
- Last in the Waikato Guineas last start. Didn't have a perfect trip, but should have done much better.
Verdict: This is a talented 3yo, but his last-start performance in the Waikato Guineas was too bad for him to be a legitimate contender here. He'd have to improve by at least 15 lengths. Should be closer to 100-1.