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Originally Posted by todko
If you're really that high on speed figures you might believe in Bernardini. Next time you go to the track -- bet on speed figures. Don't look at anything else. Let me know if you come home with any money.
Bluegrass Cat wore front wraps for the first time in the Travers. He had issues before the race. It might not be on the pps, but look at the tapes. Any horse that has run like he has run in GI races can't cut better than a :48+ and 1:12+? He was not the same BC than ran in the Derby and afterward we found that out. Lucky he's alive. He normally wouldn't be injured trying to keep up with a :48+ half and a nearly 1:13 6f call. He was very capable of keeping up with those fractions given normal health.
It's not like Bernardini was Ghostzapper and Bluegrass Cat blew out a pastern trying to keep up with a phenomenal pace.
A healthy BC would have been well ahead of Bernardini.
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Why compare Ghostzapper and Bernardini now? Bernardini isn't done racing. You don't know what he will become. He could be another overhyped horse, or he could be the next superhorse. From what I have seen, I am banking on the latter. Even if the older horses do beat him...Secretariat, Spectacular Bid, and Affirmed even got beat by older as 3 yos. However, if he beats these horse in the JCGC and BCC, I don't think that there are too many people that are going to leave him off their greatest of all time lists. He'll definitely be on mine.