TIME KEEPER

3 c Stravinsky - Organdy
20 starts - 1 win, 6 thirds
Odds: 30-1
Replays:
Best: Great Northern Guineas (3rd):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aDufBBwx5Ig
Last start: Championship Stakes (4th):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D_xJ_UH7rgI
+ Keeps running amazing races against the best 3yos at huge odds - 3rd in the Wanganui Guineas, Great Northern Guineas and Karaka Mile and 4th in the Championship Stakes
+ Has won over 2100m, so should be fine at the distance
- 1 win from 20 starts. Come on. No horse can win the Derby with that kind of record...right?
- Trained by the same guy who trains poor old Sir Slick
Verdict: His record has probably been damaged by the fact that, like Sir Slick, he's sometimes forced to race when he's not at peak fitness and form. He's surprised me a few times with very very good performances in some of our best 3yo races so far, but I still don't think he's quite good enough to do it again in the Derby.
Not many Derby winners finish outside the top four 12 times in their career before the Derby!
He obviously has a lot of ability though. I wish he'd been looked after by a better trainer.