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Originally Posted by pick4
FF had an easy first quarter but look at the half. First 1/4 in 24 3/5, the next quarter was in 23 3/5. The fractions from 4 to 6 furlongs was 23 and 4. After the easy first quarter this horse had to run hard and ran out of gas.
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The longshot winner of the race gained a full length on Friesan Fire into the teeth of his supposedly 23 3/5 second quarter .. he also gained a half length into the 23 4/5 third quarter. He went from a stalker to a presser into the part of the race you isolate as the strongest.
Friesan Fire just ran his 4th total dud in his last five tries. You shouldn't make excuses for extremely favorable trips - and FF had one today.
Maybe Bridgmohan should have just taken that free ride on the lead instead of trying to trap General Quarters the whole way... but it wouldn't have mattered anyway because the horse didn't show up at all today.