View Single Post
  #1  
Old 02-19-2010, 08:18 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,034
Default 2/19: Santa Anita (5th-8th)

Thought $11, $13 and $111 winners of the first half of Thursday Santa Anita P6 meant a carryover was in the offing for Friday. But 3 subsequent victors that were obvious 'on top' Most Liklies kept the sequence within reach of one ticket that scored on the $80k+ prize.

54-1 El Nadia, a 7yo Kiwi making a first NA start, was Steve Knapp's first winner of the meet after 35 tries. She was a 1 for 25 turf mare in NZ running 7f to a mile; had been off 229 days with Knapp 8% "Off >180 days" and 0 for 17 "First time with trainer". In other words, she was tough to use...

Hope you did OK yesterday as the next three winners "on top" produced a $50 P3 that defrayed the P4 beat a tad. Huge Saturday on deck, and ATR preview will include DRF's Mike Welsch (GP, TAM) and Marcus Hersch (FG). Carryover of $25k looms at Aqueduct today, but with a potential $160k pot at Arcadia, I looked West instead and the P4 appears approachable and possibly lucrative.


SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Warren's Appeal 5-2 3rd-DH
Best Value: #1 Win Allison Win 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Playa Bonita 9-2 3rd-DH
Super Add: #2 G. I. Betty 6-1 6th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Victory With Honor 5-2 8th
Best Value: #2 Silk Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Stephen's Got Hope 4-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Close to the Edge 3-1 4th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Devine Actress 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 My Aunt Fanny 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Jealous Woman 3-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Welken 5-2 2nd


8th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Saltwater M D 4-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Kalookan Commando 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Jacob's Tiger 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Slew City Grinder 8-1 7th
High 5 Play: #1a (POE) Unusually Lucky 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 2-7
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 5-8-11

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 02-19-2010 at 08:16 PM.
Reply With Quote