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Originally Posted by Five Star Derek
Rupert-I respect your opinions and look forward to your posts but I think you need to give a little more credence to some of the information that some people have posted concerning racing frequency. I'm not saying that I neccesarily agree with all of this but I can't dismiss it so quickly as you seem to be able to do. The previous thread dealing with this has caused me to do my own research and forced me to think "outside the box" a little bit instead of using convetional wisdom. There is too much data available to simply just ignore. I am still very much on the fence about this but am planning to do a very thorough investigation into this to find out more. I am a novice when it comes to racing outside of the US and Canada so I am in no position to have a definitve opinion on the matter. I'm just saying that you have too much to offer in terms of knowledge and input to be so close minded when it comes to this issue.
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My opinion is based on 25 years of experience as both a handicapper and an owner. I've literally handicapped tens of thousands of races over the last 25 years. If there was only thing I've learned over all these years it would be that horses do not last and do not stay in form if you run them too often. This is something that I have learned.
Let me give you an analogy. Let's say that there are two possible routes that you can take to get home from work. You're not sure which route is quicker, so you try them both. You switch off practically every day for several months. If Route #1 usually takes you 20 minutes to get home and Route #2 usually takes you 30 minutes to get home, and you know that from trying it 50 times, then I think you will be very confident that Route #1 is quicker. If you tell me that you are sure that Route #1 is quicker, I could tell you that you are being close-minded. That would be pretty silly on my part though because if you are basing your opinion on experience, and you had no preconceived notions, then I think you should be confident that your opinion is correct. I shouldn't even call it an opinion. It would actually be a fact that Route #1 is quicker.