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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
You are right. I am not a "trip handicapper". But you don't need to be a trip handicapper to know that taking up sharply at the 3/8th pole is not a good thing. Taking up sharply at the 3/8th pole is going to kill you almost every time.
If you have a horse stuck on the rail behind horses (but within striking range), saving ground all the way around the turn, I wouldn't call that a bad trip as long as the horse does not have to take up and as long as he gets out at the top of the stretch. Many people will mistaken that for a bad trip, when in reality, it is often times a really good trip.
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Races are entities in and of themselves. There are flows to them and those part of the 'correct' flow for that race have a huge advantage.
Clearly, your horse had to check and lost ground. However, to that point it was saving ground and had the best of it, while 3 other horses were going at it on the front end. And, while it had to take back, it also, in a sense, got a break from chasing. Sooner or later, the speed was coming back and it was just a matter of who had done the least amount of running at the point where this happend. And this just happened to be your horse. It stumbled and bumbled its way home in poodle fractions (as all the others had run BEFORE it).
Now, there's no doubt it was probably the best in this race (the only horse I want back from it is the runner up) but I'd want to see it run in a FAIR race to see what it's made of. In other words, while your horse had trouble, it also got the advantageous setup. And, in its debut it showed that it can't run against it. Not saying the horse can't do it; just need to see it.