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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
No doubt he's good at this. But, he's clearly not an expert at TRIP HANDICAPPING. First thing a trip handicapper learns is to not give too much weight to the inside troubled trip (especially if the race sets up well for the troubled horse). Hard to believe that something as ELEMENTARY as this, borne out by simply watching races over time, is so difficult to comprehend for so many. To BTW's credit, he's still trying to educate while so many others have given up.
Then again, when one is an EXPERT in a given area, who can fault him for thinking he's an EXPERT in another (unrelated) area.  |
You are right. I am not a "trip handicapper". But you don't need to be a trip handicapper to know that taking up sharply at the 3/8th pole is not a good thing. Taking up sharply at the 3/8th pole is going to kill you almost every time.
If you have a horse stuck on the rail behind horses (but within striking range), saving ground all the way around the turn, I wouldn't call that a bad trip as long as the horse does not have to take up and as long as he gets out at the top of the stretch. Many people will mistaken that for a bad trip, when in reality, it is often times a really good trip.