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Originally Posted by Dunbar
I consider Rupert an invaluable source of information on 2-year-olds and other lightly raced horses. His eye for running ability is pretty much the only thing that will get me to bet on a maiden race. If he likes a horse in a maiden race, I will bet it, period.
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No doubt he's good at this. But, he's clearly not an expert at TRIP HANDICAPPING. First thing a trip handicapper learns is to not give too much weight to the inside troubled trip (especially if the race sets up well for the troubled horse). Hard to believe that something as ELEMENTARY as this, borne out by simply watching races over time, is so difficult to comprehend for so many. To BTW's credit, he's still trying to educate while so many others have given up.
Then again, when one is an EXPERT in a given area, who can fault him for thinking he's an EXPERT in another (unrelated) area.
