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Old 01-19-2010, 04:43 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

With an outside post, I think the horse would have won by 9-10 lengths.

And I think this is the kind of indefensible wishful thinking that causes people to lose their money. You have a horse that had an otherwise perfect trip, but had three lengths of trouble at most, somehow turning a 1 3/4 length win into a nine to ten length romp. It's typical racetrack over-exaggeration if you ask me.

He was 30 cents to the dollar yesterday. What would have been the appropriate amount of lengths he should have won by with an absolute perfect trip, as you are suggesting, given his competition?
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