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Old 01-19-2010, 01:00 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Here's another version of what happened....

He was two or so lengths behind THREE duelers after one quarter. He dropped about six back as those three sped away to the half. He steadied two to maybe three lengths back on the inside nearing the three quarters to fall about 8 1/2 to nine lengths back. He eased out after saving ground and ran down the leaders who covered the final quarter in 27.10 seconds. He did go about 25 3/5 for his final quarter, and was easily best, but he was also 30 cents to the dollar and beat some very slow horses.

There are no trips in slow races.
He only dropped 6 lengths back after he checked the first time. He fell 10 lengths back after he checked sharply the second time. The horse was literally 10 back at the 5/16th pole.

I agree with you that he beat bad horses. But I think he would have won by 8-9 lengths if he would have drawn an outside post. If he drew an outside post, he wouldn't have been in tight and checked twice. I don't think he would have ever fallen more than 3 lengths back without the trouble.

Since you like speed figures, I will talk speed figures. He ran a 77 Beyer first time out sprinting. I think that's a reasonable number for a big, long striding Stephen Got Even colt who is not a sprinter. He only had a handful of half-mile works going into that race and he drew the rail. He had everything going against him in that race and he ran a decent 2nd. Under the circumstances, I think running a 77 Beyer that day was a decent number. He's not the kind of horse that I would have expected to run a 90 Beyer first-time out sprinting.
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