Quote:
|
Originally Posted by cmorioles
If you listen to Gomez's agent on the radio show out of California (forget the name), it is obvious. They don't even try to hide it. Why assert I'm making false allegations if you didn't bother to investigate? You are doing exactly what you throw at me.
As for you other assertions, you are wrong. There are people that do exactly what you say shouldn't be worried about. They obviously are using computers and jockey ability is a part of the equation. I also suspect they are much better gamblers than you.
|
I asked where you got your information, and you're telling me its something you implied from listening to Gomez's agent on the radio. so you're speculating, let's be honest. I don't really doubt what happened, but I'm not going to go around and call someone a liar either based on hearsay.
of course people use jockey ability as part of the equation, but its only one small part of the equation.
what you are alleging, is that there are some very sophisticated and "smart" gamblers who make pass or play decisions whether or not to use a horse on a multirace ticket based solely on the rider. ie: Gomez up, the horse is a play. Pedroza up on same horse in same race, its a pass, off the ticket. I would think that if the calculated difference in riding ability between Gomez and Pedroza alone was enough to make one horse have a higher rating than the other, that the smart player might include both horses or pass the bet entirely if it made the ticket to costly. The average difference in outcome that Gomez can be expected to have over an experienced journeyman like Pedroza on a particular horse in a particular race is not very large. In this case there certainly was much more uncertainty due to the many firsters and inexperienced runners. I don't think any programs exist that can accurately get a fix on those factors.
In short, I don't believe anyone, smart player or not, passed on that horse against that field due to Pedroza having the mount.
No doubt you're right, there are better gamblers out there than myself. Did you feel that by stating that it somehow makes your argument stronger? For the record, I suspect that you also don't stack up that well against the best gamblers.