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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Before the Damascus, Smart Bid's synthetic form was suspect at best (hence the long odds). On the other hand, he has a very good turf record, including a graded stakes placing, so I would say its a no-brainer that he'd be nominated for both even though Motion is probably leaning to the Malibu.
In addition, you never know what the weather is going to be like, the Sir Beaufort could easily come off-the-turf (Gio Ponti's synthetic win) making it likely an easier score than the Malibu.
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I agree with you that his synthetic form was not good before the Damascus but all of these synthetic tracks are slightly different from each other and he obviously loved the track at Santa Anita. That was the best race he ever ran. Before the Damascus, I would have never guessed that this horse would run his best race at 7 furlongs. I think 7 furlongs at Santa Anita plays more like a mile because that track is fairly tiring and doesn't seem to favor speed.
If he is doing well right now, I would think he would be the horse to beat in the Malibu. That's why it surprises me that they would consider the other race.