They just ran the first at Belmont and although the favorite and a logical horse did indeed run 1-2, it still appears to me that the outside paths on the main track may be where you wanna be today. Fractions were soft and inside speed collapsed and noone made a good run on the rail.
Pay attention to the next dirt race or two if you are playing later in the card today, my gut feeling is that outside is where you wanna be.