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Originally Posted by DaTruth
The same can apply to most paddock observations. You don't know what you are seeing unless you have a baseline comparison for the horse. I look for more important paddock indications like the redneck trainer dressed up before a stakes, or local owners not bothering to show up before an important race.
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One of the best betting angles of all at PID is when a local owner happens to show up for a race.
A couple of the guys tend to bring the entire yacht club with them .. and a lot of them will bet the horses into the teeth of the small pools as though odds mean nothing.
It's great stuff if you're lucky enough to be able to get action at track odds through a connection. Though, finding such a connection is not easy.
I most enjoy it when the trainers beam and rave about how much their horses "love this track!" before said horse has actually ever raced on it ... and when said horse inevitably flops when he races on it ... you often get a bitter helping of how the track is totally different in the morning than in the evening.
You know... if only the race had been run at 7AM instead of 7PM ... the horse would have won by four instead of finishing a perfect trip 6th at 5/2.