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Originally Posted by King Glorious
The day I use figures to tell me more than what my eyes see is the day I quit this game. From a figure standpoint, she doesn't come close. From what I've seen on the track, she looks the most likely to win. There are questions about so many of the others, who will take to the track, who will best be helped by the pace, etc, but there are none about her. I don't think Richard's Kid or Colonel John are close to her in ability. Nobody knows if Rip will like the surface. Ice entering Summer Bird in the Turf tells me that he doesn't like what he's seeing on the surface. I've never thought Quality Road wanted to run this far. Mine That Bird didn't look like he liked it when he ran on it and Awesome Gem just doesn't like to win races period. Gio Ponti and Einstein are the two horses to worry about in my opinion (of course Rip if he takes the track) and I'm just not convinced that they are better than her. I think the only thing that can keep this from being a romp would be Rip taking the track.
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A romp? Wow.
The visually impressive stuff about her is mostly fluff to me as I won't believe for a second that she hasn't worked hard in some of her past victories. In fact, she's worked hard to beat terrible horses.
The fascinating things about Zenyatta is that she's seemingly immune to just having a bad day or an incredibly negative pace scenario. That being said, I think the task she's about to undertake is being woefully under-estimated. Facing males in a bulky field going a distance that's 1/8th farther than she's ever gone are all potential road-blocks. Are they significant? It's impossible to tell but to think that because she's had her ears pricked running by mediocrities is a quality that makes her the likeliest winner in a potential romp, to me will be proven an incorrect opinion.
NT