10/29: Keeneland (4th-9th)
Fun day Wednesday as the rollercoaster ride at Keeneland continues. Getting knocked out of the P4 in the first leg by tricky The Big Finisher ($16.00) proved OK. Miffed by the early KO, I turned around with a 3x3x4 ($36) Late P3 play that came back a fat $426 thanks to $34.00 nightcap winner Bill Harv Rib. The P4 paid $2,700 (.50) and would have been nice, but the P3 took the sting out...
The feature was darn lucrative too, as top tab Diamond Song ($7.80) won over Best Value second choice Silver Time (11-2) and Super Add Pina Colada (12-1) for a juicy $162.20 ($1) triple. This was a case where despising a bad ML fave (Wild Poppy) payed off. By covering Wild Poppy in the multi-race wagers only, you get room in your exotic plays for a horse like Pina Colada who made the trifecta payoff worthwhile.
Hope you did well! Off the turf in NY today, so the Late P4 isn't nearly as inviting as it looked initially. Keeneland has but three more cards, so we'll keep playing there...
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Going against 2-1 second choice Clear Pond who may need one..
Most Likely: #6 Pari 9-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Yolo 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Forest Trail 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #3 Omega Cat 5-1 2nd
5th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Terrific and wide open claimer..
Most Likely: #5 Stream Cat 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Promisei'llbehome 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Soul 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Croton Road 15-1 5th
6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #6 Luyu 8-1 7th
Most Likely: #4 Remand 6-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #5 Gallientos 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Rosscat 12-1 4th
7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #5 Speight the Halo 6-1 9th
Most Likely: #12 Strong Commitment 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moon Town 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Super Add: #8 Manito 8-1 11th
8th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #11 Waccamaw 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Stealin' Kisses 5-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Ocean Colors 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Overandabeauty 9-2 WON ($13.80)
9th: CLM, 3+, 9f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #12 Biggerbadderbetter 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 First Movement 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #11 Back to Ack 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Humble Earl 8-1 6th
High 5 Play: #5 Spark of Humor 8-1 3rd
<$50 P4 Play:
6: 4-5-6-9
7: 3-5-8-10-12
8: 11
9: 2-3-5-11-12
4x5x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-29-2009 at 06:01 PM.
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