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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Well your other contention was that Dinard was lengths better than both Best Pal and Hansel (thus he was a lock). That almost certainly was not the case.
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Watching him progress through his races, he was a horse to me that was already really good and had a ton more upside to him. So, to my eyes, he was already better than Hansel and/or Best Pal and I fully expected him to keep getting better.
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Actually, Hansel ran 10th as the favorite. Considering both his final prep efforts and subsequent classic runs, isn't that effort a bit of an anomaly?
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Sorry there, my mistake. I don't know why I thought he was fifth. I was probably overrating him??
I think his final two preps were really nice, but if there was an anomaly in his race record, those two races were it. As for his two classic wins, the Preakness was his shining moment, but Corporate Report and Mane Minister weren't much.
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
And yet I'm sure Dinard couldn't possibly have thrown in a clunker (if he could actually make it to the starting gate), even though reports were that he was training poorly over the CD surface.
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He never threw in a clunker.
As for those reports of him training poorly over the CD surface, I think that was entirely likely a result of his injury.