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Originally Posted by Scav
I don't like Black Mamba at all today, that turf is gonna have some give in it and I wouldn't be surprised if they scratch. Her race at Arlington was putrid (softer ground). Thinks she needs California firm for her to be her best
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The problem I have with the Keeneland yielding turf, is that with the sand base, it is a different yielding than what you see at most turf courses. Sand tightens up when it is wet, so I don't think it is a giving as say Belmont, Churchill or AP's turf when they are yielding.
My initial observation is the same as yours, but I'm not ready to completely leave her off my ticket yet. The Scavulator is smoking on this one. I can't remember making more changes to my tickets in the hours leading up to the races as I have today.