10/10: Belmont; Keeneland; Santa Anita
Friday was a third straight entertaining and profitable day as the Keeneland meet opener proved negotiable, at least this one day. Best Value second choices Alice's Smart ($33.40) and Alcibiades heroine Negligee ($27.40) anchored a 5 race sequence of available P3's that rolled to the tune of $423.50 (5th-7th), $213.60 (6th-8th), $783.20 (7th-9th) and $209 (8th-10th). Was also able to finally nail a lucrative .10 Super Spot Play too, seeing through Negligee as a key horse to the $208.84 score. Hope you did well to bankroll today's incredible coast to coast action!
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
4th: 60th Jamaica H. (G1), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Courageous Cat 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Boots Ahead 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Take the Points 5-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Grassy 6-1 4th
7th: CLM, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #6 Find the Wire 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Xodo 10-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Exton 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 D' Wildcard 3-1 2nd
8th: 62nd Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Nonna Mia 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Devil May Care 6-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Awesome Maria 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Worship the Moon 6-1 4th
9th: 138th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD)
Best Value: #6 Homeboykris 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #3 Aspire 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Dublin 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Super Saver 4-1 4th
10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)
Absolutely tremendous betting race..
Best Value: #7 J L Bernstein 15-1 7th
Most Likely: #5 Livin Large 9-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Quiet On the Tee 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Globemaster 8-1 8th
<$75 P4 Play:
Taking big chance in opening leg, but tricky stakes and wide open finale demand the risk, with Find the Wire from Weaver-Prado the sequence's best single opp..
7: 6
8: 2-3-4
9: 1-3-5-6
10: 2-4-5-7-9-10
1x3x4x6 = $72
KEENELAND
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: 13th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (PP6, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Mr. Nightlinger 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Due Date 7-2 6th
Must Respect: #7 Silver Timber 5-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Bullet From Abroad 10-1 5th
6th: 29th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Informed Decision 3-5 WON
Next Best: #6 Carlsbad 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Pious Ashley 12-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Selva 6-1 4th
7th: 12th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Forever Together 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Superior Storm 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 My Princess Jess 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Diamondrella 6-1 WON
8th: 96th Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #9 Hurricane Ike 15-1 11th
Most Likely: #2 Backtalk 4-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Dixie Band 5-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Aikenite 5-1 2nd
9th: 24th Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #2 Mr. Sidney 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Sterwins 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Justenuffhumor 5-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Tizdejavu 12-1 7th
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 6-8
7: 5-6-8-9
8: 1-2-7-8-9-14
9: 2-6-7
2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
10th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)
Most Likely: #5 John Kelly 4-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Antitrust 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Speight the Halo 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Grand Daddy 30-1 6th
High 5 Play: #4 More Than Willing 5-1 3rd
<$75 .50 P4 Play:
7: 5-9
8: 1-2-7-8-9-14
9: 2-6
10: 1-3-4-5-8-9
2x6x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA
PRE-SCRATCHES
4th: 33rd Yellow Ribbon (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 Magical Fantasy 8-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Charming Legacy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Black Mamba 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Visit 5-1 2nd
5th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #5 Evening Jewel 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Excellent News 8-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Stunning Ally 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Pocatello Wild Kat 20-1 8th
6th: 24th Oak Tree Mile (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)
Best Value: #2 Skyrush 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Whatsthescript 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cowboy Cal 2-1 WON
Super Add: #1 SCR
7th: 28th Goodwood (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Fascinating edition of this important Breeders' Cup feeder event, and to be honest, none of the 10 would be an outright surprise. I'll be fishing for biggest prices..
Best Value: #7 Parading 8-1 4th
Repeat Threat: #3 Richard's Kid 8-1 3rd
Pace Player: #5 Tres Borrachos 12-1 9th
Mystery Horse: #8 Gitano Hernando 15-1 WON
8th: 17th Lady's Secret (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #5 Zenyatta 2-5 WON
Best Value: #1 Cocoa Beach 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Life Is Sweet 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Anabaa's Creation 12-1
9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Another tremendous wagering opportunity..
Most Likely: #7 On Fire 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Concerto's Thunder 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Caspian 6-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Turf and Sky 20-1 10th
10th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)
Best Value: #8 Brady Blue Eyes 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Get My Fix 5-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Mr. Charlie 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 The Skinny Man 3-1 9th
High 5 Play: #4 The Program 12-1 5th
<$150 & <$300 P6 Plays:
5: 5-10
6: 2-10
7: 3-7
8: 5 [1]
9: 2-5-7
10: 5-7-8
<$300: #1 Cocoa Beach/#5 Zenyatta in Leg D (2x2x2x2x3x3 = 144 x $2 = $288)
<$150: Single of #5 Zenyatta in Leg D (2x2x2x1x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144)
<$75 P4 Play:
7: 3-7
8: 1-5
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 1-5-7-8
2x2x4x4 = $64
Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-11-2009 at 07:02 AM.
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