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Originally Posted by JJP
OK, I admit since Ellis ended, I've been getting killed betting KY racing, mostly Turfway and one day of Kentucky Downs, so I might be a bit biased You think of the great tradition of the Derby, the BC being run there and Keeneland. Then you see that crap Polytrack and garbage pit KY Downs. I'm getting more and more convinced the Turfway isn't that far removed from pure gambling; randomness seems the order of the day day in, day out. And KY Downs is no better. Fortunately, they don't run often. I can live w/out Turfway in the winter. But what really makes me sick is how the easiest dirt track to make money on, Keeneland, has been converted to Polytrack. The powers that be in KY don't want my wagering dollars, and I'm guessing I'm not the only one who feels that way. Let's see what's left: the two Churchill meets, Ellis, and Kee grass racing. Realistically, there's no need to bother with KY other than Churchill.
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As you know, both Turfway and Ky Downs have completely different surfaces from other tracks. Betting those tracks can be very tricky. That turf course at Ky Downs is extremely deep. It's not flat either. It's really like a european turf course. The polytrack at Turfway is obviously a totally different surface from normal dirt. It plays totally different. Some horses like it and some don't.
I think you can say the ame thing for the inner-dirt meet at Aqueduct. That inner-dirt track at Aqueduct is a weatherized surface that is a much different surface from the other tacks in New York including the main track at Aqueduct. Until you've seen a horse run a good race over the track, you can't be all that confident that the horse will transfer his current form to that track.