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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Why's the risk much greater now of something very bad happening than it was earlier on in his career when all kinds of stuff on paper suggested that this horse had giant issues?
After Lava Man was vanned off in the Pacific Classic ... he went to Belmont and got beat 45+ lengths in the JCGC... after that he went to Japan and got beat 17+ on dirt.
He ran again 8 weeks after that Japan loss.
I certainly don't think anyone has to have experience with horses to know that this horse looks more likely than your average to break down.
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He is going to be 9 years old. He was retired because of xrays that showed "changes". Those ankles may look good now but they are still almost 9 year old legs with a lot of wear on them.