Fats,
I loved her as 3yo and thought she was a star at the end of 2007 and had huge things ahead... But didn't it turn out she was beating nothing special that year... Valbenny? Red Birkin? Sharp Susan? Bit of Whimsey? And getting ideal trips in beating them to boot? I'm not indicting her 'gameness'. She's been competitive for 2+ years at a high level. But at what point does she get labeled as an under-performer as a mare? She may simply be a difficult horse to ride in the way Perfect Drift was and Naughty New Yorker is/was; needing to be produced on perfect timing..
As to discussion of races and general capping habits and practices, I'm usually not one to label any particular approach negatively. Whatever gets winners is a good approach and everyone should develop their own unique style. I kidded about the race dynamics argument because it's completely interpretive and as easy an excuse for underwhelming effort as bounce theory is to sheet players.
I'm sorry if you find my incorporation of Thoro-Graph figs and statistics into my selection method some kind of egregious shortcut to perception. I incorporate much more than figs into my selection process, and I think I do pretty well. I watch as many races as time allows as part of my capping. I'd love to watch the last race of every competitor in every race, but many days it isn't practical.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 09-20-2009 at 09:54 AM.
|