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Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
that isn't really what I am saying at all.
My point is that most good horses are versatile enough to handle the pro-ride surface just fine. I am not saying that handling the surface is a big issue. - most of the horses that are good enough to make it to the BC Mile also happen to be versatile enough that they will like pro-ride just fine. The surface isn't a big deal. There may be one or two with extremely one-dimensional running styles or pedigrees and those are the exceptions, the other nine or ten or whatever runners will race according to their ability and opportunity. For most players, handicapping will be just like any other race - gain an accurate insight of the reality of the sport. Only then would you look for bias - first those bias with the betting public, and then maybe as it pertains to forwardly placed runners or closers.
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I disagree with a good horse being versatile enough to handle a certain surface as well as another. The surface is a big deal too. You can take a horse that is a 110 beyer horse on the dirt and he could still be a very good horse on the pro-ride but more of a 100 beyer horse. In the Breeders Cup it is very important the horse likes the surface because at that level of competition there is certain to be a horse in every race that runs well on the surface.
There are your Zenyatta's and Colonel John's that run well on both and there are your horses that are clearly better on dirt or better on a synthetic.