Americain was a very bad wise guy horse who wouldn't have been a good bet at any reasonable price (I can prove this wasn't a redboard if necessary). He obviously had a huge trip excuse last time, but his Euro form was just plain weak. Take this from somebody who falls for every single Euro who ships to the states.
This highlights a problem that many of us make when trying to trip handicap a race - when we see trouble/a disadvantage in a horse's trip we automatically assume the horse is going to win even when there's no evidence of that.Just because a horse has trouble doesn't mean he was good enough to win with a cleaner/more advantageous set-up.
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