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Originally Posted by King Glorious
It's a 50/50 thing and those odds aren't good enough for me. It's 50% chance that she loves it, runs well, and cements her place in history by showing her versatility and beating Zenyatta. It's 50% chance that she hates it and finishes up the track. Why anyone would want to see that happen is what's weird to me. Dirt championships should be decided on dirt. The end.
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Assuming it's the same Pro Ride surface as last year ... and assuming we are talking about a 10 furlong distance over the same Pro Ride as last year ... only a fool would think it's a 50/50 thing. More like 20/80
Factor in that Steve Asmussen trains her ... I'd MUCH rather have Johnny Velazquez, and his active 62 race losing streak, ride my turf router and take him 5 wide both turns than have Steve Asmussen train my synthetic horse.
Factor in that the field is likely to include Rail Trip .. a horse who went wire-to-wire with a triple digit Beyer in his 6f career debut.
All of a sudden a 20/80 thing starts looking like a 2/98 thing.