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Originally Posted by Antitrust32
Who knows, maybe at 10 furlongs she is only 3 lengths better.. probably closer to 10 though. But Summer Bird ran a similar close to the pace race in the Travers and won by 3 1/2. So maybe he WAS in his comfort zone in the haskell.
If she was not in the race at Monmouth, Summer Bird would have won the race in a respectable time. Just like this past Saturday. He ran a real good race in the Haskell. She absolutely freaked (like she does every time she sets foot on a racetrack except the Preakness) and was 2 ticks off the track record while running over some soup.
Also, with regards to the 10 furlong thing.. She may have won the haskell by 15 or 20 had she had another furlong to keep moving.
I just dont think your Haskell arguement makes any sense.
If they races again at 1 1/4 I wouldnt bet on either horse. Rachel's odds would be too low, and I wouldnt want to lost my $ betting on the other bird.
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3 to 15? Regardless I think it makes perfect sense, I project SB to be conservatively 5 times the odds as RA will be and I will certainly bet given the conditions I have mentioned were met.