View Single Post
  #1  
Old 08-31-2009, 05:56 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,939
Default 8/31: Saratoga (Day 30; Saratoga Dew)

Closed out terrific Travers Weekend Sunday with what I thought was in many ways, my best day of handicapping of the meet. Every winner except for off the turf Maiden Claiming victor Chief Tomoka (6th) was available in the selections, with Best Value tabs Afrikaner ($11.00), Piazza Di Spagna ($22.40) and Valuable Lady ($35.40) leading the charge. Wide net P4 plays had potential to catch the $350 early and $1,000 late quads, while 6 rolling P3's of $41, $125, $115, $187, $33 and $425 (to close out the 9th-11th), littered the afternoon. 4 tris and 9 exactas were out there for key and box players as well. Hope you did very well...

Week 5 of the session ends with rather entertaining card Monday... Catch Seth Merrow and I 10:30-11:30 on Capital OTB-TV's "Call to the Post" this morning. Tim Ice and Kent Desormeaux join us. And don't miss Andy Beyer joining me on 'At the Races' this afternoon!

Streaming (TV) video: http://www.capitalotb.com
Streaming (ATR) audio: http://www.stevebyk.com


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/HCP, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Cavallo Pazzo 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Jack On the Rocks 4-1 5th
Next Best: #2 James Wilfred 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Executive Search 9-2 7th


2nd: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 For Love Alone 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Won Token 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Laylaben 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Louisa Mae 6-1 5th


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Distinctively 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Film Charm 8-5 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Patience Drive 3-1 2nd


4th: Mollie Wilmot, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Platinum 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Lawless Falls 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Stone Legacy 6-1 2nd


5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Check SCR's at 11am as #9 All Zipped Up (6-1) would need to be used in multis should he draw in..

Most Likely: #2e Contessa entry 7-2 9th
Best Value: #5 Conga King 15-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Quick Money 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Thundering Roar 4-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-6
3: 3-6
4: 1-3
5: 2-3-4-5-8-9

3x2x2x6 = $72


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Rice entry 3-1 WON/5th
Best Value: #2 Baton Rouge 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dorian Will 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Sydney Road 12-1 7th


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5,5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Consider using underlaid #2 Petecarol (7-2) and #5 Loyal Leader (SCR'D) in multis, but don't believe they are any better than the 4 below..

Best Value: #10 Hudson Landing 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #1 Great Attack 4-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Pakula 8-1 8th
Super Add: #13 Shamroge 8-1 7th


8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best betting race of the day.. 12-1 on #12 Urban Flight is juicy, but he'll need a trip to be worked out under Garcia.. Many others are capable of board hits at bonus tote.. Fun affair.

Most Likely: #1 Big Al 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Urban Flight 12-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Blue Lion 10-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Blazing Dynamo 7-2 6th



9th: 6th Saratoga Dew, F&M-3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 My Dinah 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 What a Pair 5-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Borrowing Base 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Yet Again 6-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Ruff and Ready 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Skagerrak 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Dancing Tin Man 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #2b Jamaludin WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-8-10-13
8: 1-7-12
9: 5-6-9
10: 5-6

4x3x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 09-02-2009 at 04:16 AM.
Reply With Quote