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Originally Posted by 2MinsToPost
I need to tread carefully on this race because of what happened with The Whitney - when I saw 2-1 on Commen I dropped a handful of $20's on a win bet because I thought that was the best value I had seen in a while on as close to a sure thing. We all know how that ended, but of course he was what 8 years old?
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Its a tough racket Curt, aint it?
I made the mistake of think Commentator was "dead on the board" last year when he was sent off at 5/1 and crushed the field. This year he was equally as "dead on the board" at 2/1 and ran to it. I thought he should have been 6/5 against that field, albeit he hasnt been all that good as an 8 year old.
9/5 would be a tough price to take on any horse in the Travers, especially on a horse (QR) who lacks the conditioning all the others have. I can see the potential for greatness, but 9/5 or even 2/1 would be a huge bet against for me in this particular race.
I've learned to appreciate the talent both Birds and I think when this race is over one of them will be in the Winner's Circle, and maybe even a bird exacta.
Leaning towards Mine that Bird and may take a shot at a win bet if his price is good.