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Originally Posted by CSC
I want to make a clarification on an earlier statement I made, when I referred to different pace dynamics that RA will be facing in the 'perhaps wishful thinking' Travers. I also mean't race dynamics. Ie. possible jostling about, possible larger field of colts, possible jocky intimidation, and traffic. In short a different set of dynamics to her previous races. I think this is a significant point and thought it worthy to mention so that there is no misunderstanding.
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I get it, so what you're saying is that a filly who's perfect on the year, has beaten males twice, scored in a field of 13, has an on the pace running style that keeps her free from trouble and a jockey who cut his teeth at bush tracks in Louisiana is susceptible to all types of hypthetical trip problems. Gotcha.
And if through some confluence of events making all the things you mentioned above happen then a horse who has basically one race of consequence which was run at a distance that suited him to a T can reverse a decision in which he was beaten like a drum by the filly in question. Gotcha.
Look, it's OK if you're gonna bet against Rachel Alexandra, really it is. I'd just suggest you say you're gonna bet against her instead of coming up with some of these ridiculous scenarios that could lead to her defeat.
NT