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Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
You are one of the sharper players/cappers on the net, so i always consider what you say. I just don't think the Preakness was close at all.
not only is Rachel better than her competition, but she also dictates the style to a degree. She can go faster than anybody else that hopes to compete. Unlike Zenyatta, who can conceivably lose vs. lesser horses if they run a tactical race against her, Rachel has to regress, or even less likely someone else has to reach her remarkable level. No one has really been at her level on dirt since Curlin's peak. Big Brown probably wasn't as good, even with as much as he overcame in the Haskel and Florida Derby.
In the Preakness Borel ended the race at the top of the stretch. She reached an insurmountable lead at that point and just had to finish, with the diminishing margin not really reflecting a competitiveness for MTB. It can be debated that Borel asked her for her final bid too early in the Preakness. And then that pace was so brutal with the chasers all collapsing so badly, I know being on the lead can at times be much easier than chasing the lead in a pace like that, but it still has to be considered a very hard pace to be on with MTB having anywhere from a moderate to extreme advantage in setup...
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Pace dynamics can never be underestimated, this isn't the best example but Exceller once beat Affirmed and Seattle Slew. Maybe she is the greatest thing since sliced bread, but for me I am willing to try beating her when I see a chance she will finally be tested. However this is all conjecture for now pending Kensai's work tommorow.