Thread: Kent D.
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Old 08-18-2009, 07:17 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,005
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Matto,

Lezcano? Versus Desormeaux right now? It's not remotely close.

Lezcano: $80.57 in win mutuel in 95 starts: .84
Desormeaux: $166.50 in win mutuel in 78 starts: 2.13

And while I don't have the chance to look at it, I'd guess exacta keys of Kent in those 78 starts would produce some interesting numbers.

Lezcano is simply not getting very many good mounts at the meet given the colony and the first calls ahead of him on the pecking order. He's doing fine and his agent is pleased, but he's literally on the 7th-10th 'best' horse in most races. And he's not 'moving' horses up based on the above ROI. With an average win price of $11.50 (9-2), he's really only winning on horses that were good enough to win.

Desormeaux' average price of $11.10 is amazing considering how many top horses he gets. But many of his Mott winners have been underbet.
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