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Originally Posted by CSC
Did Macho Uno beyer 116 for 4th? If so that seemed somewhat high to me, regardless the Street Cry in the Whitney didn't resemble the one that won the Stephen Foster. That 119 was far more impressive than his second place to LB. It just seems to me the number was high, especially for a stretching out sprinter.
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Macho Uno showed no speed, was never involved, and steadily backed up against a weak field at 3/5 odds in his next start - which was at Arlington. He was toast.
He had run 5 straight Beyers between 110 and 116 coming into that race.
When a horse runs light years below their steady and consistant form ... it's typically a sign that something is wrong, not a sign that they're last race was overrated.
Sometimes horses will recover, sometimes they won't.
Skip Away ran 3 straight Beyers between 112 and 115 - and in his next start was 3rd beaten 7 lengths at 3/5 odds with a 92 Beyer. Isitingood and Spirtbound drilled him at Lone Star Park.
Even though that clearly wasn't the real Skip Away .. he bounced back to his old self... in fact better than his old self .. as if something holding him back a little was found and corrected.
Take a horse like Discreet Cat, who ran a series of 116 Beyer races as a 3yo. He goes to Dubai, gets sick, and is scratched from his prep.
In the World Cup, he shows no speed, breaks last, and finishes last by 23 behind some Turkey and Suadi Arabaian horses. People who don't understand racing think a performance like that is somehow a black mark against his previous races.
In his case, he was toast. They never could get him to do more than run like a high priced claimer after that.