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Old 07-18-2009, 11:48 AM
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thunderdan09 thunderdan09 is offline
Cahokia Downs
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Minnesota
Posts: 161
Default Belmont Park - Saturday, July 18th, 2009

1 - #1 Dose of Reality
Pace setters are winning at 44% for the meet at this distance and are 6/10 this week. I think the Contessa horse gets it done on the front.

2 - #1A R Fast Favorite
Again he will be on the front end in this race. He is a quitter but I am going to stick with the bias for this week at 6 furlongs. (Coa/Chatterpaul?)

3 - #4 Olive Eye
Looks to be the filly to beat in this small group. The #5 Ciminella will likely get the lead and I think the one moving best late will be the #3 Elaine's Pride but I think she will be too far back to contend. That's why I gave the edge to #4 who should sit just off.

4 - #3 Drift King
I think he has the kick to clear these at 6f. He will be tiring late but I think he hangs on.

5 - #4 Four Star General
Not really super confident in the #9 on the outside as the favorite, so I leaned to the 4. Coming on the MCL25k state bred victory on July 1st. Think he can do it again here.

6 - #8 Yankee Empire
I gave the edge to this one because of the victory over this turf course. Should be the second choice most likely.

7 - #1 Royal Vessel
In a race with some really unsuccessful turfers, I leaned to the longshot on the inside trying for the first time. Breeding is decent for grass (TOM=317)

8 - #3 Fiddler's Afleet
Banking on this one flying from off the pace. As opposed to 6f front runners at 7f are only winning at 15%. Benefits the 3.

9 - #4 Due Date
I think the key with this one will be the speed towards the end of the race. I think the 4 based on some of the intervals on Formulator Web will have a good opportunity to beat the favorite. Added was the Formulator info the Andy and Eric added up Capuano shippers.

10 - #8 Go Go Bar
I think a placing is as close to a safe bet as you can get. She will have to run down a couple but I think she does it easily.

$2 Pick 6 Play

5: ALL (8 horses)
6: 1,8
7: 1,9,12
8: 3
9: ALL (6 horses)
10: 8

$576 Ticket

$1 Pick 4 Play

7: ALL (9 horses)
8: 3
9: ALL (6 horses)
10: 8

$54 Ticket
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