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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Horses that impress us in August usually don't pan out. More than often they are either precocious or rushed too early. Of course, it seems trainers wait so long to start firsters, with so much emphasis on the BC, that one little setback seems to end their year.
On the other hand, has anyone discussed Tagg's firster, Nobiz like Shobiz, who won his debut ( albeit with a perfect trip ) at a mile on Saturday at Belmont and earned a Beyer number of 94? I saw he's going straight to the Champagne ( and then, weather permitting, if everything goes right, I expect Tagg to point him to the Cheltingham meet ).
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With that being said, a 2YO filly has grabeb this division rather decisively early on and gone on to dominate in the BC Juvenile Fillies - asserting her superiority over the other juvenile fillies in her crop - the last few years with Storm Flag Flying, Halfbridled, Sweet Catomine and Folklore all being rather dominant....
There will be a change in that pattern this year - or at least it has that feeling, as Baffert's filly is the #1 seed at the moment but looks far from dominant.....