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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
With all these races being taken off the turf (BEL and just about everywhere else on the eastern part) I've been reading (on that other forum) about some extraordinary claims concerning ROI and Win %.
What would be a believable win % for win bets?
What would be a believable win % for exotics bets?
What would be a believable ROI for win bets?
What would be a believable ROI for exotic bets?
What would be a believable ROI for all bets?
Looking more for empirically grounded responses.
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Just using my current stats as a reference..
My top selection in the paper this year is winning at 28.5% with a $2.13 ROI
My top two selections in an exacta box have connected 22-for-144 - so 15.3% with a $3.61 ROI
My top three selections in a Tri box have connected 11-for-123 - so 9% with a $1.98 ROI .. on 21 occasions one of my top 3 was scratched.