Beyer is admitting that the assumptions upon which he previously relied in making speed figures for synthetic races were flawed. Why should we think that the new assumptions are any more accurate. He staes that he is essentially tweaking the figures to fit the following conclusory proposition:
"But the general rule is: The fastest races produce higher figures, the slowest races produce lower figures."
In many respects, it appears that Beyer is now treating synthetic races in much the same way that he has treated turf races. And my sense about their turf figures is that, given the manner in which those races are run, the turf figures rarely deviate significantly from the pars for a given class. With the above statement, is that what we are likely to get from Beyer figures for synthetic races? If so, why not just assign a class rating for non-dirt races and don't worry about calculating a "speed" figure.
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