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Originally Posted by CSC
I agree 100%, MTB has one style that he has truly excelled at and we know what that is...All you have to do is see his handling by Casey Lambert to know he does not like to be rushed. If this race is paceless I would hate to be on him at what most likely will be 2-1 with him roughly 10-15 lengths off of the leaders, and if he is injected sooner into a race without pace we all have seen he can be pretty mediocre.
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my view is if the pace is too slow , say 49.00 1:14,for 3/4 MTB and others will be closer to the leader with an extra 1/4 mile to run than the derby. the leader CM or whoever might have some thing left after a slow pace however,
no lead to capitalize on it. these late runners will run the last 3/8ths faster and if no big lead by pace-setter he's done. does this make sense..lol, in these ultra -long races MTB will not have to be injected,and will be closer to the leaders
if pace is to slow, thus closers being close and having it their own way with-out moving to early, from my view point throught the years wwhen pace was honest in the belmont the leaders had an advantage with closers getting loss way back, maybe too far back
because jockeys are afraid of moving to early at belmont. one huge plus for summer bird is Kd,he has this track down to a T.