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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I'm trying to understand why this horse interests you so much. That he gained into a race that accelerated the last 1/8th, the ARK Derby, is, at first glance, noteworthy. Yet, I'm not so sure that he didn't get the best of it that day in terms of dynamics. And, he basically ran evenly in the Derby. He never made a more and did nothing more than pass faders, horses that had run earlier.
I can understand why Mine That Bird might not be a solid alternative for some. While he made a ridiculous move in the Derby, he did it on the best part of the track, and while saving ground; and he got the best of it in terms of setup in the Preakness. So I can understand if some still question his ability. But, there's certainly no questioning that he's run better than Summer Bird. I'm not saying that MTB is my choice, as I have to see who ultimately runs.
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The simple answer would be I believe we have yet to see the best from Summer Bird, whereas we have with some of the others and that is the time to bet a horse, if he was a 100% proven commodity at this point he would be of very little interest to me as a betting prospect. We all have taken a liking to a horse at one time or another, these are the calls that make horseracing fascinating and possibly rewarding. There's no point in anyone saying The horse that Borel will ride is the Belmont winner...it's so ho hum...